Forex Magnum


10 Comeback Stories to Watch in 2012


At this time of year, we often see artificial selling pressures that may result in buying opportunities, almost regardless of stock fundamentals or market conditions, notes George Putnam of The Turnaround Letter.

Selling pressures come from two sources: tax-loss selling and portfolio window dressing. The extreme volatility this year has produced a particularly interesting crop of year-end bounce candidates.

To select these ten bounce candidates, we focused on the worst performers in the S&P 500 during calendar 2011, adjusted somewhat so that the result was only one stock from each industry group.

Alpha Natural Resources (ANR)

The pressure on the stock was increased by an earnings warning and by concerns about the integration of a large acquisition. After 2011’s year-long decline, the stock looks undervalued with attractive cash-flow characteristics.

American International Group (AIG)

After a big year-year bounce last year, the stock peaked at $60 in January. It has been dropping ever since.

Bank of America (BAC)

The sentiment has been so negative that even a big investment from Warren Buffett hasn’t helped the stock. But sentiment can change rapidly, and even a slight lifting of the gloom could cause the stock to pop.

Computer Sciences (CSC)

Despite all this, the company’s strength in providing solutions to complex technology problems positions it well for the future. And with the stock trading at its lowest level since 1995, it appears ripe for a rebound. It could also attract the attention of private-equity investors.

First Solar (FSLR)

Janus Capital Group (JNS)

Its specialty is growth stock funds, which are particularly vulnerable to market volatility. When equity markets firm up, the stock should perform well.

MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR)

But with the stock approaching a nine-year low, it looks as though most of the fickle shareholders have already abandoned ship, so any upturn could be sharp.

Monster Worldwide (MWW)

Monster definitely felt the effects of subdued business confidence, but its brand is strong, and management appears attuned to tweaking the operating model to leverage developing technologies.

Netflix (NFLX)

Management realized the error of its ways, and while the moves it had made tarnished the brand a bit, the company still has a strong business franchise.

United States Steel (X)

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